Severe weather outbreak later this week?

Severe weather outbreak later this week?

Yes, but I am not going to go much into it yet. Run to run consistency has been lacking in the models as to where and how strong. It will happen, but not sure exactly where or when.

Instead, I am going to take a random thought and expand a bit. One of the main tenants of the LRC is that every year is unique.

How do we know? Taking one of many arguments of global warming, I could assert that with the earth being here for billions of years, why would we think that in one person’s observation in the last 25 years that each year is unique?

Meteorology is still rather in its infancy though been thought of since early mankind. Tools, technology, and communication have greatly improved in the last thirty years.

Even with this, I cannot think that a theory that is about recurring patterns could not itself accept that it could be possible for the same pattern to recur beyond just one year.

In tropical forecasting and in other types of forecasting, it is a normal and accepted forecasting method to use analogs in prognostication.

Why not the LRC? Could this be a similar year to 1960? It was mentioned by Lezak in Winter that there may be similaries. Could this be 1993? Others have thought it to be this analog…

Why is every year unique if you accept the premise that the LRC is itself defined by recurring patterns?

Just food for thought…