SW troughing

As soon as we can get this SW trough to inch closer or eject to our NW, we will see very tricky weather with temps and precip.

Once the ridging can erode in the central CONUS, which looks to be late this weekend/early Monday, the energy can eject creating surface lows forming to our NW following the weakening ridging.

Severe threats are low now for this storm and should be more to the west with more elevated type severe weather. Maybe some surface based stuff..but tough to get all the moisture and heat that far NW. Maybe this ridging will get it there.

I will be looking more to the end of this week into early next week again for severe weather when this thing ejects - unless it moves closer to us before ejecting.

Maybe look again for next Mon/Tues as it ejects for severe potential. Tough to really see anything in the models right now.